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SaaS LTV:CAC + payback calculator

Compute customer LTV, LTV:CAC ratio, and CAC payback period for a SaaS business — including churn, gross margin, expansion revenue, and discount rate.

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LTV : CAC

Healthy SaaS: 3:1 or better

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  • Customer LTV (NPV)$1,676
  • CAC payback10.8
  • Avg lifetime33

LTV, CAC, and the unit economics of SaaS

The two numbers every SaaS investor will ask about: how much does a customer cost to acquire, and how much profit do they generate over their lifetime? The ratio between them — LTV:CAC — is the unit-economics scoreboard.

The healthy ratios

  • LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1 — table stakes for venture-backed SaaS
  • LTV:CAC > 5:1 — likely under-investing in growth
  • LTV:CAC < 1:1 — burning money on every customer
  • CAC payback < 12 months — capital-efficient growth
  • CAC payback > 24 months — needs deep funding to scale

What this calculator does differently

Most LTV calculators use the textbook formula LTV = ARPU × Gross Margin / Churn. That's correct for a steady-state, no-expansion, no-discounting business. Real SaaS isn't that.

This calculator runs a month-by-month simulation with three corrections:

  1. NPV discounting: A dollar 24 months out is worth less than a dollar today. Default 10% annual discount.
  2. Expansion revenue: Net revenue retention (NRR) above 100% means surviving customers spend more over time. Top SaaS companies hit 120-130% NRR.
  3. Bounded horizon: Caps lifetime at 240 months (20 years) to prevent infinite tails when churn approaches zero.

Reading your numbers

  • High LTV but bad payback: You're acquiring sticky customers but the upfront cost is too high — likely overpaying for ads or sales.
  • Low LTV, fast payback: Prosumer or freemium model. Profitable per acquisition but capped on growth ceiling.
  • High churn (>5%/mo): Truncates LTV regardless of how much you spend on retention. Fix product-market fit before scaling acquisition.

Where these numbers go wrong

  • CAC accounting: Include the full cost — sales salaries, marketing software, paid ads, content production, ops overhead allocated to GTM. Not just paid ads.
  • Gross margin definition: SaaS GM should exclude R&D and S&M but include hosting, customer support, data egress, and third-party COGS (Stripe fees, etc).
  • Churn measurement: Use revenue churn (dollar-weighted), not logo churn (count-weighted), if you have customer-tier variation.

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